Finance Index

In this project we are going to compute the rate of growth in the Finance Index of the New York

Stock Exchange (NYSE). The table below gives the highest close of the finance index for the NYSE for each year. Find the rate of increase from 1974 to 1978 and use this rate to predict the highest close of the finance index for next year and for the year 1966.

Now find the rate of increase from 1993 to 1997 and use this rate to predict the highest close of the finance index for next year and for the year 1966.

In your opinion, which rate provides the best estimate of the highest close of the finance index in 1966? Which rate provides the best estimate of the highest close of the finance index for next year? Provide reasons that might account for differences in these calculations.

Year

Finance

Year

Finance

1974

65.87

1986

157.48

1975

54.11

1987

164.79

1976

59.23

1988

136.16

1977

58.99

1989

173.29

1978

65.24

1990

145.95

1979

67.43

1991

172.68

1980

67.46

1992

198.16

1981

73.22

1993

217.49

1982

90.81

1994

224.07

1983

102.17

1995

274.21

1984

97.63

1996

356.96

1985

132.35

1997

499.74

NYSE Finance Index

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New York Stock Exchange