Transportation Index

In this project we are going to compute the rate of growth in the Transportation Index of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The table below gives the highest close of the transportation index for the NYSE for each year. Find the rate of increase from 1974 to 1978 and use this rate to predict the highest close of the transportation index for next year and for the year 1966.

Now find the rate of increase from 1993 to 1997 and use this rate to predict the highest close of the transportation index for next year and for the year 1966.

In your opinion, which rate provides the best estimate of the highest close of the transportation index in 1966? Which rate provides the best estimate of the highest close of the transportation index for next year? Provide reasons that might account for differences in these calculations.

Year

Transportation

Year

Transportation

1974

39.24

1986

117.31

1975

33.29

1987

165.86

1976

42.57

1988

144.14

1977

42.94

1989

209.76

1978

52.58

1990

179.53

1979

52.62

1991

201.87

1980

82.73

1992

215.15

1981

76.48

1993

271.59

1982

73.81

1994

285.03

1983

93.58

1995

308.00

1984

89.62

1996

356.66

1985

116.13

1997

471.20

NYSE Transportation Index

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